Tesla Model Y California Air Resources Board certificate hints at deliveries in Q1′ 2020
Tesla Model Y just received its zero-emissions vehicle (ZEV) certificate from the California Air Resources Board (CARB) and that increases the probability of the deliveries starting Q1′ 2020 — because the last time Tesla Model 3 got CARB certified, the deliveries started after about 25 days.
CARB has only certified the top Tesla Model Y variant i.e. the Performance All-Wheel-Drive (AWD), this goes alongside Tesla philosophy of releasing the most expensive vehicle version first to get max revenue and profit to fund the lower variants of the car.
Some of the more enthusiastic Tesla community members think that the Model Y Performance deliveries will be starting as soon as next month if this happens as expected, Tesla’s Q1′ 2020 numbers will take the advantage from this, good news for the investors and reservation holders alike — at the time of this writing TSLA shares are trading at an all-time high of $541.00, every bit of good news now adds up.
Tesla might just be able to start limited production and deliveries of just the Model Y Performance as was earlier speculated by Zachary Shahan of CleanTechnica and from the documents, we earlier explored from the City of Fremont hinting at a new assembly line at the Tesla Fremont factory.
🚨Potentially huge BREAKING NEWS 🚨— Alter Viggo (@AlterViggo) January 13, 2020
Model Y deliveries happening next month?!
Tesla published a Model Y CARB certificate on January 9th. Tesla signed the LR RWD Model 3's certificate on July 3, 2017. That was 25 days before the first deliveries on July 28. $TSLA #ModelY https://t.co/SpewAUyUKb
The range numbers mentioned on the CARB certificate are interesting as it shows an urban dynamometer driving schedule (UDDS) range of 441.91 miles (727 km) for the Tesla Model Y Performance AWD — and the Tesla online configurator is showing the range of only 280 miles (450 km) for this top variant.
However, the real-world electric vehicle range is not reflective of the UDDS — a dyno does not imitate all the real-world weather, road, and driving style conditions, by multiplying the UDDS range by 0.7 we can get the closest EPA or real-world range from the numbers. CARB gave Tesla Model 3 Performance and Long Range variants a UDDS range number of 455.32 miles, thus 455.32 x 0.7 = 318.7 which sits just in between the Tesla advertised ranges of 310 and 322 miles respectively.
As we can see in the CARB certificate above, they dyno has reported a range of 441.91 miles for the Model Y AWD Performance, therefore 441.91 x 0.7 = 309 miles — this is much more than the 280 miles Tesla has been advertising as Model Y Performance range. Either Tesla is sandbagging the numbers or will, later on, unlock the capped range later on with a free or paid update.
Here is the complete Tesla Model Y Performance AWD’s zero-emissions CARB certificate pdf (source link here):